Archive for February, 2010

Back in the Saddle

Back in November 2009 I made the decision to stop trading. I had been working at it for over 2 years, and had managed to lose a boatload over that time period. It was time to stop, time to regroup, time to rethink. It was a painful decision because trading – in so many ways – is a perfect “job” for me. It fits me in a thousand vital ways. But it wasn’t fitting me in one very important way – making a living.

I stayed away as long as I could – over 3 months. But I have decided it is time to get back on that pony. This time, I am a lot wiser. I learned a lot in those first two years, but the main thing I learned is that I was not being a professional trader. So what am I going to do differently this time?

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27

02 2010

Becoming “as a little child”

People were also bringing babies to Jesus to have him touch them. When the disciples saw this, they rebuked them. But Jesus called the children to him and said, “Let the little children come to me, and do not hinder them, for the kingdom of God belongs to such as these. I tell you the truth, anyone who will not receive the kingdom of God like a little child will never enter it.” Luke 18:15-17

In this passage, Jesus says that we cannot enter “the Kingdom of God” unless with receive it like a little child. A lot of people think that when Jesus says “the Kingdom of God”, he is referring to the place that believers end up after they die, but that is a mistake. A kingdom is, by definition, the place ruled by a King. The Kingdom of God is therefore the place that is under the rule of God. Or to put it more succinctly: everything everywhere. That means that the danger for us is this: if we do not become like little children, we will be right smack in the middle of God’s Kingdom, and yet not be part of it.

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25

02 2010

GST in life, business and trading

One of the behaviors I am working on with my clients to is to train them to take a Goal/Strategy/Tactic approach to running their businesses. A Goal is the end state of whatever you are trying to achieve. A Strategy defines how you will accomplish that goal, and a Tactic is a specific step you will take to execute that strategy. For most of my clients, the goals are clearly defined, but the strategies are not, and for those who have good strategies, few have clearly defined tactics. Without clear goals, strategies and tactics, it is much harder to achieve what you want to achieve. Hard work is no substitute for clearly defined goals, strategies and tactics.

With that introduction, I turn to Brett Steenbarger who (once again) points us to a way to assess the mood of the market daily. One of my continuing failures as a trader has been not recognizing the mood of the market, and trading contrary to the mood. It is a continual struggle for me to find the “sweet spot” between “looking at too much data” and “not looking at enough data”, and in that struggle I often lose sight of what the market is trying to tell me. Dr. Brett helps to point the way towards recognizing the data that matters and the data that doesn’t.

Now that I have identified that particular weakness of mine, I need a plan to overcome it. My goal is to execute trades that are consistent with the market’s sentiment. If I am satisfied with that goal, (and I am), then my next job is to refine my strategies for identifying the market sentiment. With appropriate strategies, then and only then am I ready to define my tactics for executing those strategies.

I know the GST approach doesn’t work for everyone, but for those – like me – who need an ordered approach to accomplishing anything, it is a worthwhile model for to follow.

23

02 2010

Thoughts on Lent

I came to the Xian Calendar fairly late. I was raised in a church that thought anything liturgical smacked of Roman Catholicism and since everyone knew that Roman Catholics were going to hell, we had nothing to do with liturgy. As a result, I had just about zero familiarity with Xian liturgies until I was 40. (By the way, – just to be clear – I no longer believe Roman Catholics are going to hell. Unless they are bankers. And that has nothing to do with being Catholic. But I digress.)

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17

02 2010